Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Signs of capital flight from DSE mark 2008


Sell-offs by foreign fund managers outpaced the buying pressure on the country's prime bourse in growing signs of capital flight from the stock market in 2008 in the wake of the global financial crisis.

The foreign investors sold shares worth Tk 814.96 crore, while they bought shares worth Tk 550.54 crore last year, according to Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) statistics.

However the DSE in 2007 had received Tk 889.06 crore in net foreign investment, which was a jump of around 830 percent compared to the previous year. Throughout that year, the foreign investors bought shares worth Tk 1439.76 crore, while the selling amount was Tk 550.7 crore.

Many a fund manager had become bankrupt because of the global financial meltdown and withdrew their investments from the stock markets in different countries to meet liquidity crisis, according to market analysts.

They said Bangladesh capital market was also on the money withdrawal list, despite the market was not so big as India, China and Japan.

On the onset of global financial crisis, the foreign or portfolio investment accounted for less than three percent of the total market capitalisation, or around US$ 60 crore.

By the end of 2008, such investment came down around $40 crore.

“There was a selling pressure instead of injecting fresh fund last year because of the profit-taking move by the global fund managers to meet their liquidity crisis, stemmed from the financial meltdown,” said Salahuddin Ahmed Khan, professor of Finance at Dhaka University.

However, the foreign investors had started injecting fresh fund in the later part of the year, although the pace was very slow, said Khan, also the immediate past chief executive officer of DSE.

“As our market has been maintaining a steady growth and the global credit crunch could not put any impact on our market, foreign investment will go up in near future,” he hoped.

Since the onset of the crisis, economists, experts and stakeholders of the capital market repeatedly said Bangladesh market is less allied with the global stock markets and there will be no fallout from the financial crisis.

Some analysts also see the Dhaka market as an emerging market because the diversion of global fund managers is likely due to the fact that returns from investment are ensured here.

They said inclusion of Bangladesh in the Goldman Sachs' 'Next 11' countries is another evidence that international investors now take interest in the country's stock market.

Banking sector shares followed by fuel and power, pharmaceuticals and cement sectors are on the choice list of foreign investors, mainly from the US and Europe.

Dhaka stocks close flat

Dhaka stocks finished Wednesday flat in a volatile trading with its general index posting a slight gain after a two-day bear run, market operators said.
Trading at the Dhaka and Chittagong stock exchanges remains closed today due to a holiday on the occasion of Ashura.
The general index of Dhaka Stock Exchange gained 4.01 points, or 0.15 per cent, to close at 2760.67, while its all share price index advanced by 1.20 points, or 0.05 per cent, to finish at 2279.49. The DSE20 of blue chips, however, lost 2.68 points, or 0.12 per cent, to close at 2271.20.
A DSE stockbroker said the market rose sharply in the first hour of the day’s trading due to a buying spree of investors. The market, however, finished flat because of the selling pressure in the late trading, he said.
Of the total 244 issues traded, 93 advanced, 135 declined, and 16 remained unchanged.
Turnover at the DSE dropped to Tk 339.74 crore from the Tuesday’s Tk 378.87 crore.
Summit Power topped the turnover leaders with a total transaction of Tk 41.77 crore.
Beximco Pharmaceuti-cals, Beximco, Titas Gas, Shinepukur Ceramics, Maksons Spinning, Golden Son, ACI Formulations, Summit Alliance Port and Quasem Drycells were the rest of the top 10 turnover leaders on the day.
Chittagong stocks also closed flat on Wednesday.
The selective categories index of Chittagong Stock Exchange gained 3.27 points, or 0.06 per cent, to close at 5552.31, while its blue chips index, CSE30, advanced by 4.88 points, or 0.07 per cent, to finish at 7316.16. The bourse’s all share price index, however, lost 2.67 points, or 0.03 per cent, to close at 8508.76.
Of the total 142 issues traded on the CSE floor, 66 posted gains, 74 dropped and two remained unchanged.
Turnover at the CSE, however, increased to Tk 89.69 crore from the Tuesday’s Tk 59.73 crore.

DSE gen INDEX(7-1-09)